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Guide · Buying signals

How to identify buying signals, and check they are real

The short answer

To identify buying signals, decide which events came before your past purchases, write each one as an event with a date and a source, look for it where it actually appears, then verify it: read the record, check the date and the employer, and find a second record. Act only on signals that are recent and specific.

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A buying signal is an event at a company that makes a purchase more likely soon: a hire, a new system, an expansion, a deadline. Lists of signals are easy to find. Spotting one at a real account, and being sure it means what you think, is the hard part. This guide walks through how to identify buying signals step by step, where each kind appears, how to verify one before you act, and the mistakes that make a signal look stronger than it is.

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Step 1. Decide which signals matter for you

Do not start from a generic list. Start from your own wins: what changed at those companies in the months before they bought? A new leader in the role you serve, a new site, a system being replaced, a rule coming into force. Those are your candidates. For a fuller introduction to the kinds, read the guide to buying signals in B2B sales.

Then check each candidate against the year before. If it happened just as often to those companies a year earlier, it describes who buys, not when. Our study of 89 purchases shows how many popular signals fail that test.

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Step 2. Write each signal as an event, with a date and a source

A useful signal is specific enough to search for and to date. Compare:

Too vagueSpecific enough to find
"Growing fast"Opened a second site in the last 90 days, dated by a press release or a new location page
"Investing in sales"Posted a job for a first head of sales ops, dated by the employer's own job board
"Struggling with compliance"Named in a regulator's published notice, dated by the notice

These are often called sales trigger events: things that start a buying process rather than describe the company.

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Step 3. Look where each signal actually appears

SignalWhere to lookThe date to trust
A hire in the role you serveThe company's own careers page, then job boardsThe posting date on the employer's own board
A new leaderCompany news, the person's profile, a press releaseThe start date the person or company gives
ExpansionLocation pages, press releases, local news, registersThe opening or registration date
A system changeJob posts naming the system, new web addresses, partner announcementsThe date of the record, not of an article about it
Funding or a new ownerFilings, press releasesThe filing or announcement date
A deadline or an incidentRegulators' published notices and registersThe date the regulator gives

Public records are often the most reliable source, because the date comes from the body that keeps them, not from a writer. Our field guide to free public records lists fifteen of them.

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Step 4. Verify the signal before you act

  1. Read the record itself. A headline or a job title often means something different once you read the page. Look for the duty or the decision, not just the words you searched for.
  2. Check the date. Aggregator sites re-date old posts. Use the date the source itself gives.
  3. Check the employer. Recruiters, agencies and vendors post jobs for other companies. Make sure the company in the record is the one buying.
  4. Check it is the right company. Namesakes are common. Match the website, not just the name.
  5. Find a second, different record. A second job ad for the same seat is not a second record. A hire plus a new location page is.

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Step 5. Judge freshness and strength

Not every real signal is worth acting on today. Ask three questions. Is it recent, inside the window where your past buyers usually bought? Is it specific to your offer, or would every vendor in your category see the same thing? And does the company fit your ideal customer profile? A strong signal at a company that will never buy from you is still a waste of a message.

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Step 6. Act on it, by naming it

The point of a signal is to give your first message a reason. Name the event in the first line, say what usually follows it for a business like theirs, and ask one easy question. If you cannot write that first line, the signal is not specific enough yet. The whole workflow, from the watch to measuring each signal, is in signal based selling.

Behaviour such as content reads or website visits is a different kind of signal; see intent signals vs buying signals for how the two work together.

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Common mistakes when identifying buying signals

Searching for words the buyer never writes. Your product's language is rarely the buyer's. Search for the duty they would describe.

Trusting a re-posted date. A post that looks a week old can be months old on the employer's own board.

Counting a record that fires on everyone. If every company in the market has it, it sorts nobody.

Missing the employer. A staffing firm's job ad is a signal about the staffing firm.

Stopping at one record. One record is a lead. Two different ones are a reason.

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The buying signal verification checklist

Before you act on a signal

  1. It came before purchases in your own past deals more often than in an ordinary year.
  2. It is written as a dated event with a named source.
  3. You read the record itself, not a summary of it.
  4. The date comes from the source, not an aggregator.
  5. The company in the record is the buyer, and it is the right company.
  6. There is a second, different record from the same company.
  7. It is recent enough to write about this week.

What we have seenOf 16 signals we pitched to B2B sellers that did not hold once we read the records, 7 failed because the buyer never writes the words we searched for, 4 fired on a record that was not a buying moment, 3 were posted by the wrong employer, and 2 were too rare in the window.

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Questions

What are examples of sales trigger events?

A new leader in the role you serve, a hire for a role that uses your product, a new site or country, a system being replaced, new funding, and a regulation with a deadline. Which ones matter depends on what came before your own past purchases.

How recent does a buying signal need to be?

Recent enough to fall inside the window in which your past buyers usually bought. For many B2B products that is weeks to a few months; an event from last year is history.

Can I identify buying signals without paid tools?

Yes. Employers' own careers pages, company news and public registers are free to read. Tools help you watch many companies at once; they do not replace reading the record.

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Where to go next

New to the research side? Start with what sales prospecting is.

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We find what happened before your past customers bought, verify it in the records, then find the companies where it is happening now.

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